Prediction Intelligence
Besh democratizes the tools of professional forecasters. Ask any question about the future and get a transparent, calibrated probability backed by real-time evidence — not vibes.
From question to calibrated probability in seconds.
Pose any question about the future. Politics, markets, science, technology, geopolitics — anything with a verifiable outcome.
Our dual-engine AI synthesizes 27+ real-time sources, simulates thousands of decision-makers across parallel realities, and produces a calibrated probability.
Get a transparent probability with full evidence trail. Track shifts in real time. Make better decisions with better information.
Four pillars that turn raw signal into calibrated foresight.
Parallel realities, real answers
Instead of one AI making a prediction, we simulate thousands of decision-makers across parallel realities. 12 behavioral personas representing different decision-making patterns deliberate across multiple rounds, while 6 divergent future scenarios stress-test every outcome. The wisdom of simulated crowds, not a single model's guess.
From markets to seismographs
Prediction markets, economic indicators, USGS seismic feeds, NOAA weather, congressional records, news RSS, social signals, crypto whale alerts, and more — all verified through a 6-tier source credibility system.
Quantitative meets behavioral
A Mixture-of-Experts quantitative engine (PatchTST, Mamba, xLSTM, TimesFM, Chronos-2, MOIRAI-2) runs alongside a 12-persona behavioral simulation. Two fundamentally different approaches, one calibrated output.
Measured, not claimed
Isotonic and Platt scaling per domain, multi-market agreement weighting, and continuous recalibration. Every prediction is scored against reality with published Brier scores on 100+ benchmark questions.
Brier scores on 100+ benchmark questions across 8 domains. Lower is better — 0.00 is perfect, 0.25 is random.
Integrate calibrated predictions into your product with a single API call.
curl -X POST https://api.besh.ai/v1/predict \
-H "X-API-Key: bsk_your_key_here" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates before July 2026?",
"depth": 2
}'Smart Synthesis
Depth-1 · ~$0.001/call
Parallel Universes
Depth-2 · ~$0.006/call
Full Debate Engine
Depth-4 · ~$0.03/call
27+
Data Sources
0.072
Brier Score
6
MoE Models
<$0.01
Per Prediction
Professional forecasting has been locked inside hedge funds, intelligence agencies, and prediction markets with high barriers to entry. Besh opens that capability to anyone with a question. We believe better predictions lead to better decisions, and better decisions lead to a better world.
Every probability we publish is auditable. Every source is traceable. Every Brier score is public. Radical transparency is not a feature — it is the foundation.