The WHO or CDC must confirm sustained human-to-human transmission of H5N1 avian influenza (not just isolated spillover cases from animal contact) before January 1, 2028. "Sustained" means at least 3 generations of human-to-human spread documented in a single chain.
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Sign in to predictLive update (market_pulse): market consensus shifted. Sources: manifold: 21.0% ($1,000), manifold: 47.1% ($100), manifold: 41.4% ($100)
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The WHO or CDC must confirm sustained human-to-human transmission of H5N1 avian influenza (not just isolated spillover cases from animal contact) before January 1, 2028. "Sustained" means at least 3 generations of human-to-human spread documented in a single chain.
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Sign in to predictLive update (market_pulse): market consensus shifted. Sources: manifold: 21.0% ($1,000), manifold: 47.1% ($100), manifold: 41.4% ($100)
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The WHO or CDC must confirm sustained human-to-human transmission of H5N1 avian influenza (not just isolated spillover cases from animal contact) before January 1, 2028. "Sustained" means at least 3 generations of human-to-human spread documented in a single chain.
Sign in to make predictions, track your accuracy, and compete on the leaderboard.
Sign in to predictLive update (market_pulse): market consensus shifted. Sources: manifold: 21.0% ($1,000), manifold: 47.1% ($100), manifold: 41.4% ($100)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your reasoning.
Sign in to join the discussion