technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?

OpenAI must publicly announce and make available a model officially designated as GPT-5 before July 1, 2026.

YES

100%

AI Forecast100% confidenceUpdated 1d agoCloses July 1, 2026

No Yes 100%

Resolved: YES

3/11/2026

21%-29pp (-58.0%)Past 24 hours

Major shiftMinor shiftAbove 50%

RESOLVED YES. OpenAI released GPT-5 prior to July 2026.

market_price

40%

debate

37%

base_rate

22%

triage→evidence→multi_agent_debate→calibration

Time: 23.3s

Discussion0 comments

No comments yet. Be the first to share your reasoning.