economics

Will the Bank of Japan raise its policy rate above 1% by end of 2026?

The Bank of Japan must set its short-term policy interest rate (uncollateralized overnight call rate target) above 1.00% before December 31, 2026. Based on official BOJ monetary policy statements.

50%

AI ForecastCloses December 31, 2026

No 50%Yes

Probability History

29%+6pp (+26.1%)Past 24 hours

Major shiftMinor shiftAbove 50%

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