geopolitics

Will NATO have 35 or more member states by the end of 2027?

NATO must have 35 or more full member states (not applicants or partners) by December 31, 2027. Based on official NATO records. NATO had 32 members as of early 2024.

50%

AI ForecastCloses December 31, 2027

No 50%Yes

Probability History

37%0pp (0.0%)Past 24 hours

Major shiftMinor shiftAbove 50%

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