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The Future, Calculated
Ask Besh anything about the future
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Predict
Real-time sources
74 predictions tracked
1 forecasters
Trending
CNN: Russia gives Iran specific advice on using UAVs to strike US forces
1 src
Iran says it's ready for a long war that would 'destroy' global economy
1 src
Zelenskyy to Trump: Put more pressure on Putin, ‘not on me’
1 src
Outrage in Gaza as Hamas kills civilians in crackdown on critics
1 src
Italy’s Meloni criticises US war on Iran as part of dangerous trend
1 src
Pentagon Tells Congress First Week of Iran War Cost More Than $11.3 Billion
1 src
Woman who falsely accused 10 men of raping her jailed
1 src
Foreign hacker reportedly breached FBI servers holding Epstein files in 2023
1 src
Epstein's longtime accountant testifies on his wealth and business ties
1 src
The Pentagon is violating Anthropic's First Amendment rights
1 src
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🤖
Will Meta release Llama 5 (or next major open-weights LLM) in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will a humanoid robot be available for commercial purchase (under $100K) before 2028?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will OpenAI's annualized revenue exceed $10 billion in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will Apple announce a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will Anthropic have the top-ranked AI model by end of 2026?
63%
chance
Yes
No
Updated Mar 12
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will Anthropic IPO before the end of 2026?
43%
chance
Yes
No
Updated Mar 12
Ends Dec 31
Resolved YES
🤖
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?
YES
Updated Mar 11
Ends Jul 1
Resolved YES
🤖
Will an AI system score above 90% on the ARC-AGI benchmark by 2027?
YES
Updated Mar 11
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will SpaceX launch a Starship mission toward Mars by the end of 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
Updated Mar 12
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will a fully AI-generated feature film receive a major theatrical release before 2028?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will Waymo operate autonomous ride-hailing in 10+ US cities by end of 2027?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will the EU issue its first fine under the AI Act before 2028?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will Anthropic release Claude Opus 5 (or next-gen flagship) in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🤖
Will Tesla receive Level 4 autonomous driving approval in any US state before 2028?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Jan 1
🤖
Will Google release Gemini Ultra 2 (or equivalent next-gen flagship model) in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
Ends Dec 31
🔥
Will Anthropic have the top-ranked AI model by end of 2026?
63%
🔥
Will Anthropic IPO before the end of 2026?
43%
🔥
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?
100%
Will an AI system score above 90% on the ARC-AGI benchmark by 2027?
100%
Will SpaceX launch a Starship mission toward Mars by the end of 2026?
7%
Besh Edge
AI diverges from market consensus
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?
-73.1%
Will an AI system score above 90% on the ARC-AGI benchmark by 2027?
-8.8%
Will SpaceX launch a Starship mission toward Mars by the end of 2026?
+1.6%